Will Real Estate Follow Travel in Consolidation?
In January of 2014, I wrote:
Will the industry take an Orbitz approach (6 largest airlines teaming together to take on Expedia, Travelocity, etc), with the largest franchises/brokers teaming together to build a new portal?
The national broker public portal — which I’ve written about here and here — is pretty much exactly that; an Orbitz approach by the industry.
Some of you may have seen the news that Expedia bought Orbitz this past week.
Will we see the same thing happen in real estate in 5 or 10 years? Ie Zillow purchases the national broker public portal for a cool $1-2B in cash in 2025? Only time will tell. In the meantime, there is a gigantic amount of work to be done to ensure the broker portal attracts enough traffic to ever be worth close to what Orbitz is worth.
Sam DeBord
Posted at 08:27h, 15 FebruaryIt’s a really interesting comparison. My first question would be how the airlines, if their true intention was to undercut non-airline companies’ public portals, could have structured Orbitz in a way that it could be simply purchased.
It seems like a strategic mistake. The only caveat is that they may have said, “If someone wants to buy this website for $1B, we’ll just sell it to them and then rebuild a new one. We are the airlines. We own the inventory. We know how to build it now, and we’ll just pull our listings from Orbitz as soon as we build Orbitz 2.” I doubt that’s what happened because investors who make these kinds of purchases aren’t dumb enough to miss that kind of risk.
The same could be said for a BPP. *IF* they could build a portal that garnered huge consumer traffic based on its proximity to the core/timely/accurate RE listing data, it would probably make sense to structure its ownership in a way that a big fish couldn’t simply buy it to make it go away as a competitor. Some sort of privately held partnership which had rights by every franchisor/big player to veto its sale would keep the strategic value of the brokers’ data in their hands no matter the size of the company that wants to purchase it.
Sam DeBord
Posted at 09:00h, 15 FebruaryRealtor.com’s website was owned/managed by Move, Inc 15 years ago and still is. News Corp bought Move, Inc. We didn’t “sell” a contender, it became a contender under management by an outside company and still is, under an NAR operating agreement.